The Decoder· Matthias Bastian·· 10 d ago
Microsoft publishes Nobel economist's bearish AI forecast of just 1.5% GDP growth over a decade
Microsoft publishes Nobel economist's bearish AI forecast of just 1.5% GDP growth over a decade
AI summary
Microsoft published a bearish AI outlook from Nobel economist Daron Acemoglu. He predicts about 1.5 percent GDP growth over ten years and at most five percent of jobs replaced. Bigger models won't move the needle, he argues. What's missing are practical apps that change how work gets done.
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Threshold 76Media and individualsFirst 38Second 38
Not admittedSum of both 76 < twice the threshold 152
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- Media and individuals; this tier's threshold is 76
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- passed：讨论AI对GDP与就业影响的经济预测
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Source: The Decoder · the-decoder.com